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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.85vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.34vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.71+1.79vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+3.85vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.46vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.74+0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.99+1.77vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.49-0.61vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.10-0.57vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55-5.64vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.08+0.51vs Predicted
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13Villanova University0.29-1.09vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.62-5.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.99-5.23vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University0.75-5.53vs Predicted
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17Penn State University0.13-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.34Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.79Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.85Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.65Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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8.39Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.43Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.36Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.91Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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8.14Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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10.47Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.99Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.7% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 20.9% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.4% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.