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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.59vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+0.87vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.14vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66-1.36vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.63vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45+0.49vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.59-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Hampton University1.4726.8%1st Place
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2.87Christopher Newport University1.2122.3%1st Place
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3.14George Washington University0.8817.2%1st Place
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2.64Washington College1.6625.9%1st Place
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4.37Virginia Tech-0.025.6%1st Place
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6.49Catholic University of America-2.450.6%1st Place
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5.89William and Mary-1.591.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 26.8% | 25.7% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brian Fox | 22.3% | 20.5% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 17.2% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 25.9% | 23.6% | 23.3% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 39.8% | 17.1% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 24.0% | 67.3% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 50.2% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.