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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.15+5.49vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+1.57vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+0.41vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.69+1.29vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.61+0.47vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.18+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.09+1.88vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.47-4.52vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Toronto-1.09+1.60vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.79-3.50vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.06-2.49vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-4.12vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.47-1.92vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.90-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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3.57Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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5.29Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.47Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.58Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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3.48Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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8.45Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.5Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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9.51Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.08Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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12.7Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 19.1% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 22.3% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 21.9% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 20.9% | 26.1% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 30.6% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 48.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.