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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.75vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+0.82vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.21+0.06vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.48vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.37vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.12-1.54vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Hampton University1.4725.9%1st Place
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2.82Washington College1.6624.1%1st Place
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3.06Christopher Newport University1.2121.0%1st Place
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3.52George Washington University0.8813.7%1st Place
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4.63Virginia Tech-0.027.5%1st Place
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4.46William and Mary0.127.3%1st Place
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6.75Catholic University of America-2.450.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 25.9% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 24.1% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Brian Fox | 21.0% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 13.7% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 36.0% | 6.6% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 24.6% | 30.0% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 87.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.