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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+1.79vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.78vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.48vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.02+0.64vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.12-0.50vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45+0.73vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.21-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Washington College1.6625.9%1st Place
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2.78Hampton University1.4725.4%1st Place
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3.48George Washington University0.8815.9%1st Place
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4.64Virginia Tech-0.026.2%1st Place
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4.5William and Mary0.126.9%1st Place
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6.73Catholic University of America-2.450.6%1st Place
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3.09Christopher Newport University1.2119.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 25.9% | 22.1% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 25.4% | 22.2% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 11.7% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 35.2% | 5.6% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 22.5% | 31.6% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 87.7% |
| Brian Fox | 19.1% | 20.9% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.