← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.44vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.61+3.25vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.38+0.62vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.47-0.50vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University1.18+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.15+0.63vs Predicted
-
7Colgate University1.69-1.98vs Predicted
-
8University of Rochester0.09+1.04vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University-0.06+0.51vs Predicted
-
10Ocean County College0.79-2.45vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.40-2.52vs Predicted
-
12University of Rochester0.09-2.96vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-1.90-1.23vs Predicted
-
15University of Toronto-1.09-3.51vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-1.47-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
-
5.25Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
-
3.62Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
-
3.5Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
-
6.59Queen's University1.180.0%1st Place
-
6.63Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.02Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
-
9.04University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
-
9.51Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.55Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
-
8.48Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.04University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
-
12.77Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
-
12.1Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Godfrey | 21.4% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 19.6% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 20.4% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 51.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 23.9% | 24.7% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 32.6% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.