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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+2.06vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.88+1.47vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66-0.16vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.47-1.28vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.32vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45+0.75vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.12-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Christopher Newport University1.2119.9%1st Place
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3.47George Washington University0.8815.8%1st Place
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2.84Washington College1.6624.1%1st Place
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2.72Hampton University1.4726.1%1st Place
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4.68Virginia Tech-0.026.2%1st Place
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6.75Catholic University of America-2.450.4%1st Place
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4.48William and Mary0.127.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 19.9% | 21.2% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.8% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 1.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 24.1% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 26.1% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 37.1% | 5.1% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 88.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 31.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.