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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.88+2.50vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+0.82vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.27vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.21-0.92vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.28vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45+0.72vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.12-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5George Washington University0.8815.3%1st Place
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2.82Washington College1.6623.6%1st Place
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2.73Hampton University1.4726.2%1st Place
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3.08Christopher Newport University1.2120.0%1st Place
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4.72Virginia Tech-0.026.2%1st Place
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6.72Catholic University of America-2.450.4%1st Place
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4.43William and Mary0.128.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Fisher | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 23.6% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 26.2% | 24.3% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Brian Fox | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 37.3% | 6.5% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 87.2% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 30.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.