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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.46vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.77+0.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.05+2.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.17-0.70vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.09+0.15vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-3.06vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.33+0.60vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.10-2.11vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.21-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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2.6Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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5.35Harvard University1.050.1%1st Place
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3.3Tufts University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.15Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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2.94Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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7.6Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.89University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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6.71McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Forrester | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Sutula | 29.1% | 26.1% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Beyer | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Colin Patterson | 19.6% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Rey | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Martin McDonald | 23.0% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 45.8% |
| Whit Durant | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 25.7% | 23.8% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 25.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.