Race 6A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Wyatt Tait 8.9% 9.3% 9.8% 10.5% 9.1% 10.7% 13.5% 12.2% 9.7% 6.2%
Braden Vogel 18.7% 17.9% 16.9% 13.1% 12.3% 8.6% 6.5% 3.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Hayden Johansen 2.4% 3.3% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 7.7% 10.7% 17.4% 39.1%
Timothy Hesse 20.8% 17.0% 16.2% 13.6% 11.5% 8.8% 5.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
Sam Childers 9.5% 8.4% 8.6% 10.5% 11.3% 11.1% 12.1% 11.8% 11.4% 5.2%
Jake Weinstein 12.4% 11.8% 11.8% 13.2% 12.8% 12.9% 9.3% 8.0% 5.3% 2.5%
Abe Weston 10.0% 11.8% 11.2% 11.7% 11.6% 11.8% 10.7% 10.2% 7.2% 3.9%
Greg Bittle 7.6% 9.8% 8.2% 9.3% 10.4% 13.2% 12.6% 11.9% 10.8% 6.1%
Max Naseef 5.5% 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 9.2% 10.1% 13.0% 15.6% 15.0% 8.7%
Eli Erling 4.1% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 6.9% 9.0% 12.0% 19.2% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.