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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Neil Forrester 9.9% 10.6% 11.3% 16.8% 18.7% 15.3% 11.7% 4.9% 0.8%
Alexander Sutula 29.1% 26.1% 19.8% 13.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Alicia Beyer 5.9% 5.9% 9.8% 10.8% 15.1% 19.6% 16.1% 11.9% 4.9%
Colin Patterson 19.6% 17.9% 19.5% 17.4% 13.1% 7.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Sydney Rey 5.8% 8.5% 10.2% 13.0% 16.0% 16.0% 15.0% 10.6% 4.9%
Martin McDonald 23.0% 23.3% 19.0% 16.2% 11.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Keaton Burns 1.6% 1.0% 2.9% 2.7% 3.7% 9.3% 13.4% 19.6% 45.8%
Whit Durant 2.1% 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 6.4% 11.6% 18.2% 25.7% 23.8%
Melinda Moynihan 3.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.7% 9.5% 12.1% 18.6% 25.7% 19.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.