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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.88+2.52vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.76vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.21+0.04vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66-1.17vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.34vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.12-1.56vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52George Washington University0.8814.8%1st Place
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2.76Hampton University1.4725.9%1st Place
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3.04Christopher Newport University1.2120.1%1st Place
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2.83Washington College1.6623.6%1st Place
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4.66Virginia Tech-0.027.5%1st Place
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4.44William and Mary0.127.6%1st Place
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6.75Catholic University of America-2.450.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Fisher | 14.8% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 12.2% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 25.9% | 22.4% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Brian Fox | 20.1% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 23.6% | 21.9% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Almany | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 36.1% | 6.5% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 30.8% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.