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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.47+2.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+1.35vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+3.49vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-0.26vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.61+0.50vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.18+0.57vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.69-1.98vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.09+0.13vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.06-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09-1.87vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.90-0.20vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.47-1.82vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.79-7.63vs Predicted
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16University of Toronto-1.09-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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3.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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6.49Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.74Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.5Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.57Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.02Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.31Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.6Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.8Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
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12.18Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.37Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Keally | 20.8% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 22.9% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 16.7% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 12.3% | 21.8% | 51.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 31.4% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 26.4% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.