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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+1.82vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+1.05vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.42vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.02+0.68vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.47-2.24vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.12-1.46vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Washington College1.6625.3%1st Place
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3.05Christopher Newport University1.2118.7%1st Place
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3.42George Washington University0.8815.8%1st Place
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4.68Virginia Tech-0.027.1%1st Place
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2.76Hampton University1.4725.3%1st Place
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4.54William and Mary0.127.0%1st Place
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6.72Catholic University of America-2.450.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 25.3% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Brian Fox | 18.7% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.8% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Almany | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 36.7% | 6.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 25.3% | 23.2% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 23.6% | 32.4% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 87.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.