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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+1.81vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+1.09vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.19vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.52vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.36vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.12-1.56vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Washington College1.6624.3%1st Place
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3.09Christopher Newport University1.2119.1%1st Place
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2.81Hampton University1.4724.8%1st Place
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3.48George Washington University0.8816.4%1st Place
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4.64Virginia Tech-0.026.8%1st Place
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4.44William and Mary0.128.0%1st Place
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6.73Catholic University of America-2.450.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 24.3% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fox | 19.1% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 24.8% | 22.0% | 22.1% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 16.4% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 35.9% | 5.5% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 30.3% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.