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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.18+5.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+1.46vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.69+2.24vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-0.25vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.61+0.53vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+3.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.09+2.46vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.47-4.43vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.22+1.31vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.15-3.20vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09-1.54vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.40-3.26vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.47+0.07vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.79-7.16vs Predicted
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16University of Toronto-1.09-3.74vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.90-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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5.24Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.75Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.53Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.93Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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3.57Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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10.31Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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6.8Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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8.74Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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13.07Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.84Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.51Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Schwenger | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 21.2% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 20.0% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 29.8% | 29.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 23.9% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.