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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.47+2.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+1.43vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+0.69vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.69+1.27vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.18+1.68vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+3.92vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.61-1.44vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto-1.09+3.24vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.15-3.21vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.22-0.67vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.47+1.07vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-4.30vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.79-7.43vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.90-2.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester0.09-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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3.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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3.69Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.27Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.68Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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9.92Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.56Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.71Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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12.24University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.79Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.33Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.07Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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7.57Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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13.5Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Keally | 21.3% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 21.0% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 18.9% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 22.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 28.5% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 23.2% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.