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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+1.83vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+1.09vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.23vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.56vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.31vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.12-1.57vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Washington College1.6624.1%1st Place
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3.09Christopher Newport University1.2120.4%1st Place
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2.77Hampton University1.4725.5%1st Place
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3.44George Washington University0.8815.0%1st Place
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4.69Virginia Tech-0.026.9%1st Place
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4.43William and Mary0.127.6%1st Place
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6.74Catholic University of America-2.450.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 24.1% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Brian Fox | 20.4% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 25.5% | 23.4% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.0% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 38.6% | 5.9% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 22.9% | 30.6% | 4.1% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.