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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.65vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.47+1.38vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.18+3.41vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79+3.47vs Predicted
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5Colgate University1.69+0.32vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-2.43vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.15-0.69vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.06+1.42vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.61-3.53vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40-1.54vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-1.47+1.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-2.81vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-1.09-1.53vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-4.81vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.90-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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3.38Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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6.41Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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7.47Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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5.32Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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6.31Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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9.42Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.47Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.46Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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12.21Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.69Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 19.7% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 21.7% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 20.2% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 28.5% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 23.4% | 27.9% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 13.5% | 22.9% | 47.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.