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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+9.01vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+8.60vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.58+9.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.40vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.82vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+2.04vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08+2.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-1.05vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-3.91vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-3.87vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.26vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.08vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.45-5.52vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-3.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.49vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.50vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.83-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.01Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College1.953.5%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont1.583.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University2.857.3%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.739.7%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.9%1st Place
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9.04Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College2.084.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island2.786.1%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.0512.4%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Military Academy2.054.9%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.793.9%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University2.456.8%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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14.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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14.47Salve Regina University0.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 19.4% | 30.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.