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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.65vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.69+3.07vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.47+0.44vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-0.52vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.15+1.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.61-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.09+1.90vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.18-1.55vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.06+0.50vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40-1.50vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.79-4.47vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.90-0.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-5.10vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.09-3.51vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.47-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.07Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.44Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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3.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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6.64Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.48Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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6.45Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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9.5Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.5Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.53Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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12.76Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.11Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 18.5% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 22.2% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 20.6% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 12.2% | 22.0% | 50.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 23.6% | 25.1% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 33.8% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.