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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.50vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.62vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+4.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+1.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+2.95vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08+1.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-1.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71+0.57vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.83+2.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy2.05-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-1.93vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-5.38vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.95-5.35vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.53vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.05-11.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Yale University2.7310.4%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College2.907.7%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.5%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University2.456.3%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
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14.55Salve Regina University0.830.9%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Military Academy2.054.2%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont1.582.4%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.795.7%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College1.953.0%1st Place
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14.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University3.0511.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 18.8% | 30.8% |
| James Paul | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Walter Henry | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 31.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.