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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.81vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.61vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.00vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.62vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+5.32vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+1.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy2.05+1.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08+1.22vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83+4.35vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-3.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-1.80vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.06vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-2.94vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.85-8.74vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.56-7.89vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.3%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.739.0%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University3.059.8%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.8%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.456.8%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Military Academy2.054.2%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.084.0%1st Place
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14.35Salve Regina University0.831.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island2.787.8%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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9.94Boston University1.794.0%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College1.954.7%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont1.582.6%1st Place
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7.26Brown University2.857.6%1st Place
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9.11Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
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14.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| James Paul | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 33.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 8.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.