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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.44vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.69+3.07vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+3.49vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.61+1.43vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-1.24vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.18+0.57vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47-3.61vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.06+1.35vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.09-0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09-1.78vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.79-5.53vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.47-1.81vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.09-3.52vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.90-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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5.07Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.49Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.76Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.57Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.39Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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9.35Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.45Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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7.47Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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12.19Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.7Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Godfrey | 23.1% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 9.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 16.5% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 22.3% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 29.4% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 23.4% | 24.8% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 12.7% | 24.6% | 47.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.