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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.66vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+1.35vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+3.50vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.61+1.39vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.47-1.44vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.69-0.70vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.06+2.24vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.18-1.58vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.79-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.09-0.77vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-2.77vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.47-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-1.09-2.51vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.90-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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3.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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6.5Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.39Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.56Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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5.3Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.24Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.42Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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7.48Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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8.45Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.22Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.7Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 19.4% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 22.3% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 17.6% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 30.1% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 26.1% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 23.9% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.