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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.24vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+7.80vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+7.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+4.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.48vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+3.40vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56+0.08vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-2.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-0.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy2.05-4.25vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.73-8.46vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.83-1.64vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.45-8.59vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Harvard University3.0511.3%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.794.8%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College1.953.4%1st Place
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7.33Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.083.6%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston College2.564.9%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.907.9%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.9%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont1.582.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Military Academy2.054.0%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.7310.3%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University0.831.2%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.456.4%1st Place
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14.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| James Paul | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 31.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.