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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.47+2.48vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+1.58vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.69+2.23vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79+3.43vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.18+1.56vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-2.44vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.61-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.09+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.09+0.04vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.06-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-1.09+0.59vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.47+0.18vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.40-4.59vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.15-7.50vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.90-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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3.58Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.23Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.43Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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6.56Queen's University1.180.0%1st Place
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3.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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5.21Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.53Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.18Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.41Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.5Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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12.69Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Keally | 21.4% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 19.1% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 23.4% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 17.9% | 30.2% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 24.1% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.