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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+5.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+2.17vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+4.63vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.58+5.33vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+0.48vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+0.94vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-3.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.20vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.90-5.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-2.84vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-3.87vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-3.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.16vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.83-2.80vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82University of Rhode Island2.787.6%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University3.0510.8%1st Place
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9.22Boston College2.565.0%1st Place
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7.17Brown University2.858.4%1st Place
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10.63Connecticut College1.953.2%1st Place
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12.33University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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9.94Boston University1.795.2%1st Place
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6.62Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Military Academy2.054.4%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College2.084.5%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University2.123.9%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.0%1st Place
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14.2Salve Regina University0.831.8%1st Place
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14.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 29.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.