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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.44vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+1.53vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.61+2.40vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79+3.43vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.47-2.41vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.69-1.70vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40+0.14vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15-2.50vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.06-0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-2.79vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.18-6.47vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-1.09-2.41vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.47-2.90vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.90-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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3.53Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.4Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.43Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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3.59Fordham University2.470.2%1st Place
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5.3Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.14Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.5Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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9.51Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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6.53Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Toronto-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.1Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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12.72Rutgers University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Godfrey | 21.9% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 20.5% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 17.0% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Thang | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 23.3% | 25.9% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 29.6% | 28.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Klarnet | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 23.9% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.