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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.38+3.56vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+3.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.85vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.84+5.61vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.03+0.57vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.26+2.36vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85+2.61vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.85+3.99vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.70+3.28vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.23-2.61vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.27-0.43vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.60-2.44vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.26-8.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-2.62vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.67-5.74vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.21-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56U. S. Naval Academy3.380.2%1st Place
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5.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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4.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.61Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.36SUNY Maritime College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Maryland0.850.0%1st Place
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13.28Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.57William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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10.56Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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10.26Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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14.55Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Vann | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wick Dudley | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 12.6% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Collin Leon | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jun Yu Huang | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 13.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
| Tyler Myers | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.