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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.77+1.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.17+1.53vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-0.33+4.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.61vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.05-0.78vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43-4.10vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.21-1.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.09-3.78vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.10-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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3.53Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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7.56Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University1.050.1%1st Place
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2.9Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.77McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.22Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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6.91University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sutula | 33.0% | 24.1% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 14.2% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 44.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Alicia Beyer | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Martin McDonald | 23.9% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 20.7% |
| Sydney Rey | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Whit Durant | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.