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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+3.93vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.64+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.52+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.33+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.61-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.88-1.27vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.09-0.62vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.80-3.54vs Predicted
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10Washington University0.67-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of Wisconsin1.0910.5%1st Place
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4.69Northwestern University1.2711.6%1st Place
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3.56University of Michigan1.6420.8%1st Place
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6.13University of Chicago0.526.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Minnesota-0.332.9%1st Place
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3.6University of Notre Dame1.6120.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Saint Thomas0.887.3%1st Place
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7.38Marquette University-0.093.1%1st Place
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5.46Purdue University0.808.9%1st Place
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5.56Washington University0.678.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Abe Weston | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
Jake Weinstein | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
Braden Vogel | 20.8% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Max Naseef | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
Hayden Johansen | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 40.3% |
Timothy Hesse | 20.2% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Greg Bittle | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 6.3% |
Eli Erling | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 26.8% |
Sam Childers | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
Wyatt Tait | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.