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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.22+4.09vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.53-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame2.27-0.64vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University0.17+4.25vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.28-0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.20-0.82vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University0.51+0.19vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.11+0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-0.06-2.14vs Predicted
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14Marquette University0.47-4.45vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.77-6.31vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.83-3.30vs Predicted
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17Michigan Technological University-0.05-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.84University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
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10.25Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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6.88Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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9.19Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.11Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.55Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.69Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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12.7Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.83Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 31.3% | 24.8% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lundeen | 17.7% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Gates | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Anderson | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Norman | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Greve | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Davis Dolson | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Michael Swanson | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 40.1% |
| Joel Florek | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.