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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.36vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+3.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.66vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+2.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.73vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83+4.49vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-2.98vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-0.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-4.01vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.45-6.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.05vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.08-6.69vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University3.0510.9%1st Place
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7.36Brown University2.858.7%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.909.8%1st Place
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9.31Boston College2.565.5%1st Place
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9.66Boston University1.794.1%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College1.952.2%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Military Academy2.055.1%1st Place
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14.49Salve Regina University0.831.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island2.787.3%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.713.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.124.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University2.456.7%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.7%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.083.9%1st Place
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14.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Walter Henry | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| James Paul | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 34.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 9.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.