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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University0.17+9.10vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame2.27+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.20+4.12vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.77+4.43vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04-2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.22+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.53-3.29vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.28-2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.06+0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.01-6.99vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.11-1.99vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University0.51-4.51vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.47-5.46vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.83-3.30vs Predicted
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17Michigan Technological University-0.05-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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7.12University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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2.83University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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7.16University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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6.95Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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11.01Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.49Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.54Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.7Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.87Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Gates | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% |
| Mike Flanigan | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Swanson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 29.4% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lundeen | 18.9% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 15.1% |
| Jack Greve | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Meghan Bouman | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 39.5% |
| Joel Florek | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.