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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+5.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.61vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+1.20vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+0.91vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+3.31vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+1.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.02vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.19vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83+0.50vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.08-4.92vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.28vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.56vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.56-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.857.9%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College2.908.9%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University3.0511.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island2.787.4%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College1.953.7%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont1.582.1%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.712.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Military Academy2.054.4%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University2.123.9%1st Place
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9.81Boston University1.794.7%1st Place
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14.5Salve Regina University0.831.1%1st Place
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10.08Bowdoin College2.084.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.0%1st Place
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14.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.564.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 31.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 33.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.