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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.16vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.08+7.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+2.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+2.52vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+1.68vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-0.88vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71+1.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.52vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-1.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.71vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-6.32vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-1.63vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.12-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Yale University2.7310.3%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College2.083.9%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.0511.7%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.3%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University2.457.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.566.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University2.859.1%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University1.713.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.4%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College1.953.8%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Military Academy2.054.3%1st Place
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9.36Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.786.1%1st Place
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13.37Salve Regina University0.831.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Walter Henry | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| James Paul | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 46.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.