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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota2.53+1.62vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.28+3.60vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+6.48vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame2.27-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.20+0.04vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.47+1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04-6.28vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.77-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois1.22-4.15vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University0.17-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-0.06-2.41vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.01-8.98vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.11-4.21vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.83-3.61vs Predicted
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17Western Michigan University-0.85-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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6.6Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.48Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Wisconsin1.200.1%1st Place
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9.12Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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2.72University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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8.22Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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9.98Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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10.79Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.39Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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12.4Western Michigan University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 19.2% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joel Florek | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| Mike Flanigan | 14.1% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Bouman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 30.1% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Swanson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Charles Diamond | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Gates | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 9.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 30.3% |
| Kevin Luther | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.