← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.73+5.40vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.08+7.61vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.01vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.45+3.97vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.90+1.73vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.62vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.85-0.07vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.05-2.29vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.71+1.61vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy2.05-0.59vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.56-2.38vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.79-3.14vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.95-2.80vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.12-4.40vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.83-1.76vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.78-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.4Yale University2.739.7%1st Place
-
9.61Bowdoin College2.084.2%1st Place
-
8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
-
7.97Roger Williams University2.456.5%1st Place
-
6.73Dartmouth College2.908.6%1st Place
-
6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.5%1st Place
-
6.93Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
-
5.71Harvard University3.0512.2%1st Place
-
10.61Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
-
9.41U. S. Military Academy2.054.0%1st Place
-
8.62Boston College2.566.0%1st Place
-
8.86Boston University1.794.7%1st Place
-
10.2Connecticut College1.953.4%1st Place
-
9.6Tufts University2.123.6%1st Place
-
13.24Salve Regina University0.831.2%1st Place
-
7.48University of Rhode Island2.788.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% |
| James Paul | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Walter Henry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 44.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.