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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame2.27+2.14vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.28+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.20+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.06+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.01-3.21vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.54vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.77-1.85vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-0.85+1.51vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.83+0.45vs Predicted
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13Marquette University0.47-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of Illinois1.22-6.93vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University0.17-5.12vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-0.11-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.14University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
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6.64Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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10.54Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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12.51Western Michigan University-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.45Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.23Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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9.88Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.63Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 31.6% | 24.5% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 14.4% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 17.1% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 12.0% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.4% |
| Michael Swanson | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Luther | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 33.5% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 33.1% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Charles Diamond | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| David Gates | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.