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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+4.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+2.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+5.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+3.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.08vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-3.17vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-2.03vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-0.60vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-4.66vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.90-7.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy2.05-5.90vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.83-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Yale University2.739.9%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.859.4%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University2.456.5%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island2.787.7%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University1.303.4%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.712.7%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.084.3%1st Place
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8.97Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College1.452.5%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.566.4%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.9010.6%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Military Academy2.054.2%1st Place
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13.06Salve Regina University0.831.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 16.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| James Paul | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.