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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.84vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+1.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+2.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+1.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30+2.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+0.43vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-5.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-2.74vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.45-1.65vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-7.69vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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6.07Yale University2.7311.0%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.8%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Military Academy2.055.0%1st Place
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6.43Dartmouth College2.909.8%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University2.455.6%1st Place
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8.91Boston University1.795.3%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University1.302.1%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University3.0513.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.083.9%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College1.452.7%1st Place
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13.14Salve Regina University0.830.9%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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8.38Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 38.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.