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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota2.53+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.29vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.11+6.91vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.22+2.16vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.47+3.39vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.27-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame2.27-3.68vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.01-5.01vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-0.06-0.10vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.28-4.95vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University0.51-3.78vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University0.17-3.48vs Predicted
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15Michigan Technological University-0.05-3.95vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.83-3.30vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.77-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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2.71University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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10.91Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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9.39Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.05Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.22Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.52Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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11.05Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.7Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 19.8% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 31.3% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 13.3% |
| Charles Diamond | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mike Flanigan | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% |
| Ryan Anderson | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Greve | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| David Gates | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Joel Florek | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 40.5% |
| Michael Swanson | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.