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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.08+8.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+4.39vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+4.85vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+0.58vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+3.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-2.28vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-4.32vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-2.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.08vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-0.78vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.45-3.66vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Bowdoin College2.084.5%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University2.457.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island2.787.2%1st Place
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8.85Boston University1.795.8%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College2.908.9%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Military Academy2.054.8%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University3.0512.3%1st Place
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8.47Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.8%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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13.22Salve Regina University0.831.4%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College1.452.2%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University1.302.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% |
| James Paul | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 40.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.