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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.53+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame2.27+0.71vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.05+5.51vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University0.17+3.85vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.11+3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.20-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois1.22-2.37vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.27-0.46vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01-6.51vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University0.51-3.21vs Predicted
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13Marquette University0.47-3.85vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.77-5.76vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.83-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of Iowa-0.06-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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5.54University of Wisconsin1.530.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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10.51Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.85Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.7Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Wisconsin1.200.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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9.54Northwestern University0.270.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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8.79Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.15Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.24Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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12.52Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 24.7% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sitter | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mike Flanigan | 20.8% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| David Gates | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% |
| Ian Norman | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Diamond | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Bannon | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Greve | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Michael Swanson | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 39.6% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.