Race 14A

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Robert Bragg 9.8% 8.6% 10.8% 8.5% 8.1% 7.6% 7.7% 6.8% 7.2% 6.1% 5.1% 5.3% 3.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.4% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 2.1% 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 4.1% 7.3% 8.0% 15.3% 41.0%
Patrick Mulcahy 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.9% 12.6% 14.6% 14.3%
Harris Padegs 2.6% 2.9% 2.4% 3.0% 2.7% 3.0% 2.6% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 6.2% 7.7% 9.0% 10.9% 16.4% 15.5%
Connor Nelson 7.6% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 7.5% 8.5% 7.6% 7.8% 8.0% 7.0% 5.8% 5.9% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Will Priebe 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 4.7% 5.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 8.7% 10.2% 11.8% 10.0%
Christopher Lukens 4.7% 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 6.2% 5.3% 6.3% 6.2% 6.8% 8.2% 9.4% 8.8% 8.0% 3.7%
Jack Egan 10.2% 10.1% 10.3% 9.8% 9.4% 7.9% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.1% 4.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Aidan Hoogland 8.0% 6.5% 6.2% 7.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 7.0% 6.2% 7.1% 6.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.1%
Kerem Erkmen 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 6.8% 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 7.8% 6.4% 6.7% 4.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.5%
James Paul 4.2% 5.4% 4.4% 4.9% 5.6% 5.5% 6.2% 7.3% 7.2% 5.5% 7.8% 6.9% 9.8% 8.6% 7.1% 3.8%
Colleen O'Brien 5.8% 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 6.7% 5.9% 6.5% 7.0% 8.1% 6.4% 7.6% 6.8% 5.5% 7.3% 4.5% 2.5%
Lachlain McGranahan 12.7% 11.3% 10.5% 9.6% 10.2% 9.4% 7.9% 6.0% 5.5% 4.7% 5.5% 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sam Bruce 7.0% 7.0% 6.7% 7.2% 6.1% 6.9% 6.5% 7.7% 7.1% 6.9% 7.0% 7.6% 6.5% 4.6% 3.8% 1.5%
Colman Schofield 10.0% 10.9% 8.8% 9.6% 9.6% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 6.0% 6.7% 4.8% 4.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Tyler Mowry 3.9% 5.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 6.4% 7.1% 6.7% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.