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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin1.53+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame2.27+0.74vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+6.42vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.01-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.53-2.66vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.27+2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.06+2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.20-2.31vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University0.17-1.16vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.47-3.00vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois1.22-6.36vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.83-1.26vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University0.51-6.04vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-0.11-5.33vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.77-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Wisconsin1.530.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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10.42Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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9.57Northwestern University0.270.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Wisconsin1.200.1%1st Place
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9.84Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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9.0Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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12.74Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.96Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.67Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.93Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Sitter | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mike Flanigan | 19.0% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 14.1% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 24.6% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bannon | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Gross | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
| Ian Norman | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| David Gates | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Charles Diamond | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 41.5% |
| Jack Greve | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| Michael Swanson | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.