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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+10.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+3.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+6.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.26vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+1.64vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.61+2.74vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+3.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39+0.93vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-0.75vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-4.03vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.38-5.61vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.95-4.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.29vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.71-2.91vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.58vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.29-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.0%1st Place
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5.64Brown University2.9113.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University1.944.2%1st Place
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6.26Yale University2.9210.2%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University3.1816.9%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.388.0%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University2.226.3%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island1.613.9%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University1.312.4%1st Place
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10.93Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.2%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.386.9%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College1.954.0%1st Place
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15.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont0.711.7%1st Place
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12.42Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College2.294.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Dana Haig | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 46.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.