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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame2.27+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.20+2.92vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.22+0.95vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.11+2.71vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.47+0.16vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.66vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-0.06-0.28vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.27-2.24vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.77-4.63vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University0.17-3.82vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University0.51-6.05vs Predicted
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17Hope College-0.83-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
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3.66University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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6.95University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
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10.71Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.16Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.66Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.76Northwestern University0.270.0%1st Place
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8.37Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.18Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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8.95Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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12.54Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 34.0% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 14.7% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 11.0% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lundeen | 18.2% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Joel Florek | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 10.2% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% |
| Zachary Bannon | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Michael Swanson | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| David Gates | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% |
| Jack Greve | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.