← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.01+3.68vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota2.53+1.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Illinois1.22+3.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame2.27-0.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin3.04-3.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin1.20-0.02vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.57vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University0.47+0.14vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-0.11+0.81vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University0.77-2.72vs Predicted
-
12Western Michigan University0.51-2.93vs Predicted
-
13University of Iowa-0.06-2.13vs Predicted
-
14Northern Michigan University0.17-3.81vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University0.27-5.34vs Predicted
-
17Hope College-0.83-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.68University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
-
3.54University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
-
6.81University of Illinois1.220.0%1st Place
-
4.17University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
-
2.74University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
-
6.98University of Wisconsin1.200.0%1st Place
-
10.57Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
9.14Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
-
10.81Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.28Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
-
9.07Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
-
10.87University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.19Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
-
9.66Northwestern University0.270.0%1st Place
-
12.48Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lundeen | 18.9% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mike Flanigan | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 31.1% | 22.9% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Joel Florek | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.1% |
| Michael Swanson | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Jack Greve | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.8% |
| David Gates | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% |
| Zachary Bannon | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.