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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+9.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+5.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+4.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.18vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+1.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+4.42vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94+0.19vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39+0.84vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.91-5.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-3.54vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.77vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.61-3.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-1.81vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-6.74vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.67vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.2%1st Place
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6.28Yale University2.929.9%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.225.2%1st Place
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8.14Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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4.82Harvard University3.1815.7%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.6%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.387.7%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University1.945.7%1st Place
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10.84Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
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5.45Brown University2.9112.6%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College2.296.2%1st Place
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12.23Northeastern University1.072.7%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island1.612.6%1st Place
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13.19University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College1.955.3%1st Place
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15.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
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12.12Salve Regina University1.311.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 9.4% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 46.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.