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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.77+1.45vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+2.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.17+0.37vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.09+1.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.05+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10+0.90vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.33+0.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-4.98vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.21-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.15Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University1.050.1%1st Place
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6.9University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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7.58Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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3.02Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.72McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sutula | 32.3% | 27.8% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Colin Patterson | 19.0% | 16.0% | 21.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Rey | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Alicia Beyer | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Whit Durant | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 23.3% | 24.5% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 24.9% | 42.6% |
| Martin McDonald | 23.4% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 23.9% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.