Race 8A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 10.9% 11.3% 12.2% 11.9% 11.6% 11.3% 10.3% 10.1% 6.9% 3.4%
Greg Bittle 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 10.5% 10.2% 11.1% 13.0% 12.9% 11.2% 6.6%
Jake Weinstein 11.6% 12.6% 12.1% 12.4% 12.0% 12.0% 10.2% 8.8% 5.8% 2.4%
Max Naseef 7.0% 8.1% 7.6% 8.0% 8.8% 11.2% 12.3% 14.9% 13.2% 8.9%
Timothy Hesse 21.9% 17.8% 15.1% 13.2% 12.1% 8.3% 6.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Braden Vogel 18.7% 18.4% 15.4% 15.4% 9.7% 9.4% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Sam Childers 7.8% 9.0% 9.3% 9.9% 11.8% 11.6% 12.8% 11.6% 10.6% 5.6%
Wyatt Tait 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 10.5% 11.3% 13.0% 11.9% 11.2% 10.4% 5.5%
Eli Erling 4.3% 3.1% 5.8% 4.0% 6.3% 6.4% 9.0% 11.6% 20.4% 28.9%
Hayden Johansen 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 4.0% 6.0% 5.7% 8.0% 11.2% 18.0% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.