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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame2.27+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois1.22+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-1.76vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.83+6.45vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.33+1.33vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.20-2.37vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.48vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.47-2.17vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.77-3.97vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.53-7.30vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.11-3.17vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.27-5.29vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University0.17-6.21vs Predicted
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17University of Iowa-0.06-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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12.45Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.33Western Michigan University0.330.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Wisconsin1.200.1%1st Place
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10.48Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.83Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.03Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Wisconsin1.530.1%1st Place
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10.83Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.71Northwestern University0.270.0%1st Place
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9.79Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Flanigan | 19.7% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 14.2% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lundeen | 25.7% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 41.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Ian Norman | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Joel Florek | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% |
| Meghan Bouman | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Michael Swanson | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Molly Sitter | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% |
| Zachary Bannon | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| David Gates | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.