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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+6.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+7.47vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+3.71vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+3.14vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+3.80vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-0.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-0.79vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.91-4.45vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-0.28vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-3.92vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-1.03vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-6.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-4.66vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.71-3.83vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Yale University2.9210.0%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University3.1815.0%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College1.955.0%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.3%1st Place
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8.71Connecticut College2.295.3%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University1.944.5%1st Place
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10.8Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.386.8%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
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5.55Brown University2.9112.6%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island1.613.4%1st Place
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8.08Boston College2.206.7%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.9%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.072.8%1st Place
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13.17University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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15.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 10.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.