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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame2.27+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.20+2.62vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.27+2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.53-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois1.22-2.42vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.47-1.05vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University0.33-1.74vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-0.06-1.46vs Predicted
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13Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.47vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.77-5.89vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.11-4.23vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University0.17-6.24vs Predicted
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17Hope College-0.83-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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3.68University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Wisconsin1.200.1%1st Place
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9.49Northwestern University0.270.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Wisconsin1.530.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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8.95Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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9.26Western Michigan University0.330.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.53Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.77Marquette University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.76Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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12.44Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 25.9% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 19.8% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 14.4% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Bannon | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Molly Sitter | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Meghan Bouman | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% |
| Joel Florek | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
| Michael Swanson | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Davis Dolson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% |
| David Gates | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.