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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.11+2.72vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.50+3.16vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.34+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-1.21vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.79+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.12-1.65vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.49+0.90vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University0.34-2.33vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.68-0.67vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.17-2.76vs Predicted
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14Michigan Technological University-1.57-0.77vs Predicted
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15Hope College0.28-6.25vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-1.58-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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5.16Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.19Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.6Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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10.9Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.67Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.33Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.23Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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8.75Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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13.1Northern Michigan University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 20.6% | 20.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 19.0% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| John Schneider | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John O'Rourke | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 11.0% |
| Teresa Westin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 24.8% | 39.6% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Evan Hardy | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 24.7% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.