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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+7.08vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.20+5.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+7.39vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+3.57vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+1.47vs Predicted
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72.13+3.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.38+2.22vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-2.63vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31+0.98vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07+0.32vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.18-8.18vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.94-4.70vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-4.14vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-6.57vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.71-3.89vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston College2.207.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University2.9113.1%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.5%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College2.295.3%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.387.6%1st Place
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10.382.133.7%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.9210.4%1st Place
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11.22University of Rhode Island1.383.1%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.388.6%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University1.312.6%1st Place
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12.32Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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4.82Harvard University3.1814.0%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.944.8%1st Place
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10.86Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College1.954.7%1st Place
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13.11University of Vermont0.711.1%1st Place
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15.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 14.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.