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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+7.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+4.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.41vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+4.20vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-1.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-0.47vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.94-0.83vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-3.54vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-1.22vs Predicted
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132.13-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.71-0.97vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.38-7.53vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-3.91vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.67vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Harvard University3.1817.2%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College1.954.5%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.9111.0%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University2.226.2%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.207.9%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island1.382.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College2.295.8%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University1.944.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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10.78Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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10.412.133.9%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.388.0%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University1.312.1%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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15.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 17.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.