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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.34+4.63vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.16+4.09vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.50+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.11-1.14vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.12-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-0.17+1.04vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.68+1.33vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University0.34-2.35vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.49-1.13vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois0.79-5.52vs Predicted
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14Hope College0.28-5.02vs Predicted
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15Michigan Technological University-1.57-1.88vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-1.58-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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6.09Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.21Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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5.56Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.33Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.65Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.87Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Illinois0.790.0%1st Place
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8.98Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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13.12Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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13.12Northern Michigan University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Poole | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Travis Cottle | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Najwa Jumali | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 20.9% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 18.6% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Westin | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 8.4% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| John O'Rourke | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 7.6% |
| Melinda Lee | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 24.4% | 37.7% |
| Evan Hardy | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 23.2% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.