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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+6.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+6.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+5.39vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.71+7.07vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.94+2.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+2.83vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-1.11vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.38+0.18vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.18-7.22vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-6.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-2.63vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-2.59vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-6.55vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.69vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.226.2%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College2.295.3%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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5.66Brown University2.9112.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Vermont0.711.6%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.945.3%1st Place
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10.83Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.9%1st Place
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11.18University of Rhode Island1.383.0%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University3.1817.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University2.9210.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.2%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University1.072.0%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College1.954.0%1st Place
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15.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University1.312.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Dana Haig | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 8.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 46.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.