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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.39+4.53vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.79+4.20vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.50+1.31vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16+1.27vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.34+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.34-1.31vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.68+3.30vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.13-6.32vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.17-1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.12-6.60vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.49-2.92vs Predicted
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15Hope College0.28-6.07vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-1.58-2.86vs Predicted
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17Michigan Technological University-1.57-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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7.2University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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5.31Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.27Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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8.63Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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11.3Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.68University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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10.07University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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11.08Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.93Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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13.14Northern Michigan University-1.580.0%1st Place
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13.06Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Payne | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 20.1% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Najwa Jumali | 9.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 10.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 10.4% |
| Alison Kent | 19.4% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Westin | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| John Schneider | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John O'Rourke | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 7.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Evan Hardy | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 38.4% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.