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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+4.58vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+4.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.87vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+3.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+4.23vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20-0.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.53vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.91-4.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-0.67vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.38-4.83vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-1.99vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.71-0.80vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.02vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.94-6.76vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.83vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Harvard University3.1815.3%1st Place
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6.23Yale University2.9210.2%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College2.295.7%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University2.227.1%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College1.954.5%1st Place
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11.23University of Rhode Island1.382.9%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.8%1st Place
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5.63Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.7%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College2.389.0%1st Place
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11.01Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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13.2University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University1.312.2%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University1.944.2%1st Place
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15.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 42.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.