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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+6.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+3.36vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+4.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.91vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+2.74vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+4.64vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61+3.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-3.43vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-0.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-1.93vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-0.37vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-7.87vs Predicted
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152.13-5.00vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-4.08vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Dartmouth College2.388.5%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.9113.3%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College2.386.0%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University1.944.5%1st Place
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7.74Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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10.64Boston University1.392.9%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island1.613.5%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College2.295.5%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College1.955.1%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University1.311.9%1st Place
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14.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.929.7%1st Place
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10.02.133.5%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 9.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 52.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.