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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.50+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+1.67vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16+3.17vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.34+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.79+2.37vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.12-0.69vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.68+3.22vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.57+4.05vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.13-7.21vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.17-2.02vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.49-1.99vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.27vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University0.34-7.48vs Predicted
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17Hope College0.28-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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6.17Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Illinois0.790.0%1st Place
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5.58Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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11.22Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.05Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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9.98University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.01Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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13.73Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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8.52Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.68Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najwa Jumali | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 21.0% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Payne | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 7.3% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 29.8% | 29.8% |
| Alison Kent | 18.6% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Westin | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| John O'Rourke | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 5.6% |
| Ian Pope | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 21.1% | 53.4% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.