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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.26vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+3.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+6.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+2.41vs Predicted
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72.13+3.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.11vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-1.92vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-2.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-0.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-1.98vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.94-4.94vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-4.64vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-6.91vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Brown University2.9113.5%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University3.1815.9%1st Place
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6.26Yale University2.9210.5%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.388.0%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College2.295.6%1st Place
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10.152.133.5%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University2.225.8%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
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7.67Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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10.59Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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14.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.8%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University1.944.6%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island1.612.6%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College1.954.3%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 49.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.