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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.50+4.22vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.12+4.25vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.39+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.34+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.11-2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.79+0.25vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.97+5.62vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.16-2.85vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University0.34-1.37vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.68+0.23vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.49-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.17-2.93vs Predicted
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14Michigan Technological University-1.57-1.00vs Predicted
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15Hope College0.28-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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5.52Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.82University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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7.25University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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13.62Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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6.15Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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8.63Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.23Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.04Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.0Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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8.68Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najwa Jumali | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 20.9% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 18.8% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Pope | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 21.0% | 51.9% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 8.3% |
| John O'Rourke | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 6.0% |
| Teresa Westin | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 29.3% | 29.4% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.