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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+5.34vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.39+7.56vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+2.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.97vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+0.23vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.95+1.23vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-2.98vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.18-5.36vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-0.63vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-1.04vs Predicted
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132.13-2.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.04vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.47vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-7.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Brown University2.9112.3%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College2.387.2%1st Place
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10.56Boston University1.392.9%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University1.944.9%1st Place
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7.66Boston College2.207.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
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7.23Bowdoin College2.387.8%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College1.954.1%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.9211.5%1st Place
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4.64Harvard University3.1815.6%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island1.613.7%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.9%1st Place
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10.062.133.4%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.312.4%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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14.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 6.7% |
| Dana Haig | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 12.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.