← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.11+2.90vs Predicted
-
2Indiana University1.50+3.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame1.12+3.39vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.39+1.73vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin1.92-0.60vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota2.13-2.17vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois0.79+0.33vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University0.34+0.74vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota-0.17+1.04vs Predicted
-
10Northern Michigan University-1.97+3.65vs Predicted
-
11Michigan Technological University-1.57+2.04vs Predicted
-
13Marquette University-0.49-1.97vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University1.16-7.44vs Predicted
-
16Marquette University-0.68-4.73vs Predicted
-
17Hope College0.28-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
-
5.31Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
-
5.73Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of Wisconsin1.920.2%1st Place
-
3.83University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
-
7.33University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
-
8.74Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
-
13.65Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
-
13.04Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
-
11.03Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.56Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
-
11.27Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
-
8.77Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 19.7% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 8.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Payne | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 15.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mabie | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Teresa Westin | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Ian Pope | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 20.8% | 51.3% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 29.9% | 31.9% |
| John O'Rourke | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 5.4% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 7.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.