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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.11+2.89vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.50+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.79+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.15vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.39+0.78vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.34+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.92-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.12-1.54vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.16-3.71vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-0.17-0.92vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-1.57+1.01vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.49-1.93vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.68-3.57vs Predicted
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16Hope College0.28-7.18vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-1.97-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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5.31Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.78Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.72Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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6.29Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.01Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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11.07Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.43Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.82Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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13.59Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 18.9% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.8% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 18.9% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Whitney Kent | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Westin | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 27.9% | 32.2% |
| John O'Rourke | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 4.9% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 9.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Ian Pope | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.