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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+6.83vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+6.66vs Predicted
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32.13+6.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.39+6.42vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+5.16vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-2.31vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+5.77vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-1.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-4.71vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-1.50vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.91-7.66vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.38-6.63vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.29vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.95-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University1.945.7%1st Place
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9.932.134.0%1st Place
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10.42Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.5%1st Place
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4.69Harvard University3.1816.4%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
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14.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.928.4%1st Place
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10.5University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
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5.34Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College1.955.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 50.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 11.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.