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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.77+1.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.17+1.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43-0.03vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.33+3.47vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.09+0.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.05-0.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-2.52vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.21-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.10-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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3.49Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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2.97Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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7.47Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.13Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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5.33Harvard University1.050.1%1st Place
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4.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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6.76McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.9University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sutula | 33.8% | 24.3% | 19.2% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 14.8% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Martin McDonald | 23.6% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 41.3% |
| Sydney Rey | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
| Alicia Beyer | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Neil Forrester | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 22.4% | 22.4% |
| Whit Durant | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 24.1% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.