Race 9A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 10.4% 12.3% 10.8% 11.9% 11.8% 13.6% 11.4% 8.8% 6.6% 2.5%
Timothy Hesse 20.7% 18.4% 15.0% 14.1% 11.6% 8.3% 7.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Greg Bittle 9.3% 8.6% 8.4% 9.6% 10.9% 11.8% 11.6% 11.6% 10.9% 7.3%
Sam Childers 7.3% 9.7% 10.3% 10.4% 11.2% 10.7% 13.3% 12.4% 9.9% 4.7%
Braden Vogel 20.4% 17.2% 16.5% 12.4% 10.9% 9.2% 6.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Hayden Johansen 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 4.6% 4.9% 5.4% 8.6% 12.0% 17.5% 38.6%
Wyatt Tait 7.6% 8.5% 9.6% 11.5% 11.4% 11.2% 11.2% 10.8% 12.1% 6.0%
Jake Weinstein 11.8% 13.2% 12.9% 12.4% 12.3% 11.2% 10.5% 7.9% 5.5% 2.2%
Max Naseef 6.5% 5.9% 8.7% 8.1% 8.8% 11.7% 12.2% 14.6% 14.1% 9.4%
Eli Erling 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 14.4% 20.3% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.