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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+6.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.54vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+3.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.87vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+2.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.07vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+2.67vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.94-1.05vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-1.72vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-1.42vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.57vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.21vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.61-5.39vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.38-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University3.1814.5%1st Place
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5.54Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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7.23Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.929.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University1.944.6%1st Place
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9.28Dartmouth College1.954.4%1st Place
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10.58Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.7%1st Place
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14.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island1.613.3%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.389.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 10.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 50.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.