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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.39+4.50vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+6.44vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.11+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.79+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-1.16vs Predicted
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6Indiana University1.50-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.12-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.34-2.26vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.57+4.04vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.16-3.71vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.68+0.27vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.17-1.82vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.49-4.03vs Predicted
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16Hope College0.28-7.32vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-1.97-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.44Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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7.23University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.25Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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13.04Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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6.29Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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11.27Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.97Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.68Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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13.56Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Payne | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Soren Walljasper | 21.0% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alison Kent | 18.5% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 28.9% | 30.9% |
| Travis Cottle | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 8.7% |
| Teresa Westin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| John O'Rourke | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 6.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Pope | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 21.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.