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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.50+4.18vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.16+4.10vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.57+9.93vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.79+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-1.18vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.11-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.12-0.67vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.39-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.34-3.35vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.68+1.25vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University0.34-3.35vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.17-2.86vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.60-3.86vs Predicted
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16Hope College0.28-7.29vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-1.97-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.1Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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12.93Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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6.33University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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5.57Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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11.25Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.65Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.14Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.71Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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13.51Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najwa Jumali | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 27.6% | 31.3% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alison Kent | 20.0% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 18.5% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Payne | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Teresa Westin | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Maximiliano Oliveras | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 17.5% | 6.4% |
| Libby Reeg | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Pope | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.