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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+6.96vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.39+8.64vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.20vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.85vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.08vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-1.03vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-2.48vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31+0.74vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.95-2.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.61-2.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.75vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.28vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-7.68vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.94-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Tufts University2.226.1%1st Place
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10.64Boston University1.393.7%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.0%1st Place
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5.35Brown University2.9113.2%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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6.15Yale University2.929.3%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.4%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.206.3%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.387.3%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University1.311.9%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College1.954.9%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
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14.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College2.296.1%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University1.945.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 7.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 9.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 51.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.