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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.79+6.12vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.16+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.13+0.68vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.50+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.34+0.83vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.11-3.24vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.34+0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame1.12-4.72vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.68-0.74vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.60-1.93vs Predicted
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14Hope College0.28-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.17-4.88vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-1.97-2.39vs Predicted
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17Michigan Technological University-1.57-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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6.06Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.27Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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5.58Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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8.54Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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11.26Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.07Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.91Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Minnesota-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.61Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.93Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melinda Lee | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alison Kent | 20.5% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| John Schneider | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 7.0% |
| Maximiliano Oliveras | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 6.8% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Teresa Westin | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Ian Pope | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 21.6% | 50.2% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 27.0% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.