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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+4.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.37+4.16vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.24+3.41vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.37+2.14vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.95-0.60vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.45+0.06vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+1.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.43+0.97vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.38+0.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University-0.04+0.28vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.36-1.54vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-6.84vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.07-2.91vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.60-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Roger Williams University1.6011.8%1st Place
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6.16Yale University1.379.2%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University1.248.4%1st Place
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6.14Connecticut College1.379.2%1st Place
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4.4Boston College1.9515.2%1st Place
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6.06Connecticut College1.458.9%1st Place
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8.7Connecticut College0.523.8%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College0.434.1%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College0.383.5%1st Place
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10.28Brown University-0.042.5%1st Place
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9.46Yale University0.363.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University1.6912.8%1st Place
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10.09Yale University0.073.2%1st Place
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8.67Connecticut College0.604.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ximena Escobar | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| William Bedford | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 15.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Jean-Michel Bus | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| Caroline Keeffe-Jones | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 22.7% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.