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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.50+4.11vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.79+5.01vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.11+0.62vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-1.23vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.12-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.34-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-0.94+0.62vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.68-0.91vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.60-2.18vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University0.34-5.41vs Predicted
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15Hope College0.28-6.25vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-1.97-2.49vs Predicted
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17Michigan Technological University-1.57-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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6.05Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.45Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Minnesota-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.09Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.82Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.59Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.75Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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13.51Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.8Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najwa Jumali | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 21.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 19.0% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Puccio | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 9.6% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 6.2% |
| Maximiliano Oliveras | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Mabie | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Ian Pope | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 47.4% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 25.5% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.