← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.95+6.38vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.55+3.10vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.63+5.67vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.73+3.96vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.30vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.79+1.83vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin3.04+3.93vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.90+3.34vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.83-1.41vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan2.97+1.52vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.61vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.64vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.87vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.64-5.87vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.93-3.70vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.84-4.22vs Predicted
-
17Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.33vs Predicted
-
18Boston College4.12-11.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.38Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
5.1Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
8.67University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.96Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
7.83Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
10.93University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
11.34Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.59Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
11.52University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
12.61SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
8.13U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.13Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
11.3Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.78Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
14.67Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
-
6.37Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Michael Grove | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Gabriel Salk | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Christian Geary | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 38.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.