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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.26vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.97+9.42vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+4.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.63+6.57vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.84+4.70vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-1.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-2.63vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90+0.54vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.93-0.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.86vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.48vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-4.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.63-7.47vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.64-8.48vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.57SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.7Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.54Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.52Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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14.44Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| David Alfonso | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Christian Geary | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.