Race 3A

yale-z420

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Roman 11.2% 11.2% 11.3% 10.4% 10.3% 10.1% 8.3% 7.8% 6.5% 5.2% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3%
William Bailey 9.1% 7.8% 10.1% 7.9% 8.8% 8.0% 9.2% 9.0% 7.7% 7.4% 6.5% 4.3% 3.1% 1.1%
Liam Gronda 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 6.7% 7.5% 8.8% 9.2% 11.1% 12.9% 11.5%
William Bedford 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.2% 10.6% 10.3% 8.5% 8.6% 7.5% 7.0% 5.8% 4.6% 2.3% 1.3%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 15.2% 14.5% 15.2% 13.2% 11.2% 8.3% 6.5% 5.9% 4.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Harris Padegs 8.8% 9.5% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 10.1% 8.5% 8.6% 7.6% 6.7% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8%
Sam Rifkind-Brown 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 6.0% 7.6% 8.2% 8.1% 10.2% 11.6% 13.1% 11.7%
Ximena Escobar 9.5% 9.3% 9.4% 9.1% 8.9% 9.4% 9.7% 8.1% 7.5% 6.7% 5.1% 4.0% 2.5% 0.8%
Fritz Baldauf 3.9% 5.7% 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 8.3% 9.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.6%
Katherine McNamara 13.7% 11.8% 10.9% 11.9% 10.3% 9.4% 8.1% 6.8% 6.4% 4.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Jean-Michel Bus 2.9% 4.3% 3.5% 5.0% 4.7% 4.9% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 9.8% 10.7% 13.0% 10.9% 9.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 4.0% 4.7% 5.0% 5.4% 4.7% 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.0% 9.1% 10.0% 8.7% 11.0% 8.1%
Beck Lorsch 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 4.7% 5.6% 7.6% 10.0% 12.2% 14.5% 20.6%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 3.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 9.0% 11.7% 15.8% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.