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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+7.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.64vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+4.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.22vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+1.05vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+4.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-0.62vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.90+1.69vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.93+0.44vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.84+0.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-5.94vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-9.09vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-4.17vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.97-4.74vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.92vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.4SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.38Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.69Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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12.02Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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10.83University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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10.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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14.41Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| David Alfonso | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% |
| William Macdonald | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 16.4% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Christian Geary | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.