Race 4A

yale-z420

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ximena Escobar 8.6% 9.6% 8.8% 10.5% 9.7% 8.7% 10.0% 9.2% 7.5% 6.4% 5.0% 2.9% 2.5% 0.7%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 15.7% 15.3% 12.4% 12.9% 10.8% 9.8% 7.2% 6.1% 3.8% 2.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.1% 3.7% 4.5% 4.2% 5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 6.6% 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 10.6% 10.8% 8.5%
William Bailey 8.2% 7.4% 8.0% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 10.2% 9.6% 9.2% 7.1% 6.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.1%
Liam Gronda 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 4.8% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 10.2% 11.0% 13.1% 12.2%
Katherine McNamara 12.0% 13.0% 14.4% 10.2% 10.2% 10.3% 7.4% 6.2% 6.0% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Harris Padegs 9.0% 10.1% 7.8% 10.4% 9.2% 8.4% 9.2% 9.0% 7.7% 7.0% 5.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9%
William Bedford 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 9.7% 8.2% 8.4% 7.0% 6.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Jack Roman 11.7% 11.1% 12.3% 10.7% 9.7% 9.6% 8.6% 7.2% 6.0% 4.7% 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Fritz Baldauf 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 6.6% 6.1% 8.0% 10.1% 9.8% 10.6% 10.2% 8.2%
Beck Lorsch 3.1% 2.9% 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 7.0% 6.9% 9.2% 12.8% 14.8% 20.5%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 4.5% 4.3% 6.2% 5.0% 7.6% 7.1% 9.0% 10.8% 11.3% 12.1% 10.2%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 5.8% 8.1% 8.1% 11.1% 15.5% 24.0%
Sam Rifkind-Brown 3.6% 3.7% 4.5% 3.4% 5.9% 4.2% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.8% 10.8% 10.8% 11.9% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.