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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+7.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.90+8.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.20vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+3.33vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+2.41vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.50vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-3.00vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.98vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-2.10vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-3.70vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97-0.48vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-5.08vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.24vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.53vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.84-4.24vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.93-5.54vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.72Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.0Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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14.24Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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12.47SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.76Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Michael Grove | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| David Alfonso | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Raul Rios | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 15.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Christian Geary | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 34.5% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.