Race 10A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Timothy Hesse 22.1% 18.1% 14.5% 13.5% 11.4% 8.8% 5.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Braden Vogel 19.4% 19.1% 16.8% 14.0% 10.8% 8.8% 5.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Jake Weinstein 12.5% 12.8% 12.8% 13.0% 11.6% 11.3% 9.5% 8.2% 5.4% 2.9%
Greg Bittle 7.8% 8.2% 9.9% 8.9% 10.6% 11.9% 11.7% 12.6% 11.5% 7.0%
Abe Weston 10.3% 11.8% 11.5% 11.8% 11.7% 11.5% 10.4% 11.1% 6.7% 3.4%
Wyatt Tait 8.3% 6.8% 8.9% 11.3% 11.1% 11.7% 13.4% 11.3% 10.3% 6.8%
Hayden Johansen 2.2% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 8.0% 10.9% 18.5% 37.6%
Sam Childers 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 11.0% 11.4% 11.3% 13.1% 12.2% 10.0% 5.5%
Max Naseef 5.5% 6.9% 8.7% 8.4% 10.0% 9.9% 13.0% 14.6% 13.7% 9.3%
Eli Erling 3.7% 4.3% 4.7% 3.9% 6.7% 7.8% 9.8% 11.8% 20.6% 26.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.