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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.17+1.48vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.77-0.52vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.21+2.66vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43-2.12vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.05-0.69vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.09-1.73vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.33-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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2.48Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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6.66McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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2.88Dartmouth College2.430.3%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University1.050.0%1st Place
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5.27Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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7.53Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.92University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Forrester | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Colin Patterson | 14.6% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Sutula | 34.0% | 24.5% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 21.8% |
| Martin McDonald | 25.7% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Beyer | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 4.7% |
| Sydney Rey | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 43.7% |
| Whit Durant | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 26.0% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.